U.S. home construction rebounded in July, rising to an eight-month high
and offering hope that housing has regained momentum after two months of
declines.
Construction increased 15.7 percent in July to a seasonally adjusted
annual rate of 1.09 million homes, the Commerce Department reported
Tuesday. That was the fastest pace since November and followed declines
of 4 percent in June and 7.4 percent in May.
Applications for building permits, considered a good sign of future
activity, also showed strength in July, advancing 8.1 percent to an
annual rate of 1.05 million, after declines of 3.1 percent in June and
5.1 percent in May.
The July rebound reflected strength in single-family home construction,
which rose 8.3 percent, and in apartment construction, which was up 33
percent.
The strength in July was led by a 44 percent rise in construction starts
in the Northeast. Housing construction was up 29 percent in the South,
recovering from a 26.8 percent plunge the month before blamed in part on
heavy rains in that part of the country. Sales rose 18.6 percent in the
West but fell 24.8 percent in the Midwest.
Economists noted that the July performance was much better than
expected, and June was revised significantly higher, both good signs for
the future.
Sal Guatieri, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, said solid job
growth and a recent decline in mortgage rates were helping boost
construction. But he said weak wage growth and tight lending standards
were still depressing activity, especially among first-time buyers.
A report Monday indicated homebuilders are feeling more confident about
their sales prospects, a hopeful sign that home construction and sales
of newly built homes could pick up after stalling in recent months.
The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo builder sentiment
index rose in August to 55, up two points from a revised 53 for July.
That is the third straight monthly increase and put the index at its
highest reading since January, when it was 56. Readings above 50
indicate more builders view sales conditions as good rather than poor.
Builders' views of current sales conditions for single-family homes,
their outlook for sales over the next six months and traffic by
prospective buyers all increased in August, brightening the outlook.
Sales of new homes are running behind last year's pace. They fell 8.1
percent in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 406,000.
A mix of rising home prices, higher mortgage rates and weak wage growth
have made it more difficult for potential buyers to buy a newly built
home. These factors have particularly depressed demand by first-time
buyers.
But economists are still looking for a rebound, given the fact that the
U.S. economy has been adding jobs at a healthy clip with gains topping
200,000 jobs for six straight months through July.
Housing, while still a long way from the boom of the last decade, has
been recovering over the past two years. Though new homes represent only
a fraction of the housing market, they have an outsize impact on the
economy. Each home built creates an average of three jobs for a year and
generates about $90,000 in tax revenue, according to data from the Home
Builders.
No comments:
Post a Comment